Wow I am probably to late to help
You carrier signal will only go lock if you signal is strong enough but you media center should detect and let you tune analog channels without a cable card.
Did you also disable windows firewall on the tuner?
Hope you had some luck tonight.
Dell xps420 w/ dual ATI cable cards
Hdhomerun for QAM
Panasonic 50" Plasma fed by xbox 360
Panasonic 42" plama fed by xbox 360
3TB in storage and counting